Unpredictability and information systems

  • You are living your life and making your plans based on the information you have available.
  • As long as no new information arises, you don’t change your plans.
  • When new information arises, you adjust the plan.
  • When you adjust your plan, you start to act differently, which impacts the plans of others.
  • Others then need to adjust their own plans – because you acting differently is = new information for their plans.
  • A snowball effect of changes is created; it’s a system that feeds back on itself with infinite feedback.
  • The origin of an unpredictable world may simply lie in the availability of information.
  • Unpredictability will then grow with our information systems until it reaches a point of perfect information, when everything stabilizes.

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